1/24/11

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I have updated my mock draft based on the underclassman commits, team needs, and a little more analysis of some players. I will analyze/explain some of the picks throughout.

1) Carolina Panthers: Cameron Newton, QB, Auburn


Draftmaven,com was the first website to mock Cam Newton first overall in November and I believe over the next few months more and more people will start to mock it this way. Da'quan Bowers is not worth a top-3 pick, Nick Fairley is a personal foul machine and is not Ndamukong Suh, AJ Green is not Megatron. Cam Newton is not Andrew Luck but he is a talented QB that has the most potential at QB since Michael Vick. He also will improve the run game and will negate some of the deficits on the offensive line because of his ability to move.

2) Denver Broncos: Nick Fairley, DE/DT, Auburn

Fairley isn't as clean of a prospect as Ndamukong Suh was a year ago, and he is a personal foul machine that will make some teams nervous, but he is worth a top-5 pick in this draft.

3) Buffalo Bills: AJ Green, WR, Georgia


Steve Johnson, Lee Evans, and David Nelson are not that good, and the Bills will be looking for play makers. They could go Patrick Peterson here, but the team would be addressing a bigger need in a draft with weaker WR depth than at CB, and Green will improve upon the fact that the team has no LT or QB to be proud about.

4) Cincinnati Bengals: Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

Bowers is good but he has had one year of production and he really only fits as a defensive end in the 4-3 if he is going in the top-20

5) Arizona Cardinals: Von Miller, DE/LB, Texas A&M

Miller is getting top-5 consideration this year after a talented Senior Bowl week and some team will think of his as an elite talent.

6) Cleveland Browns: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

This is a slight shocker, but I think it could happen. Peterson is a special talent but his position might not be good enough to go 2nd overall, and the Bills, Bengals, and Cards have much bigger needs given the talent around them and the talent in the draft. The Browns on the other hand are in a tricky place because most of the elite talent is gone, and it might be a little early to take Julio Jones or Robert Quinn (I honestly think his stock will fall given the off the field issues and year off).

The Browns could take Peterson because he is the best player available (and some think in the draft), and he does fill a need given the fact that Joe Haden made the rest of the DB look very average this season. Peterson would fill in beautifully with Haden to create a nasty tandem, and one of the many average corners on the depth chart could possibly be moved to safety.

7) San Francisco 49ers: Marcel Dareus, DE/DT, Alabama

Gabbert is an option here but Dareus is the last of the top tier talent in the draft and is a good pickup for a team that might not love a QB this early.

8) Tennessee Titans: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

Usually new coach means new quarterback, and the fact that Vince Young will likely be traded is an even bigger sign that the Titans will be looking for a new passer.

9) Dallas Cowboys: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

This seems like a way too common pick but it seems like Amukamara's farthest fall would be in Dallas.

10) Washington Redskins: Robert Quinn, DE/LB, UNC

Quinn is a guy that could fall in the draft because a number of questions (year off athletically, experience, character) but the Skins are a team that will ignore a few issues for potential.

11) Houston Texans:
Aldon Smith, DE/LB, Missouri

The Texans need some help mentally. They have a front office that thinks that their best way to win would be to find a way to out-defense Peyton Manning. Unfortunately that hasn't worked. The team is now switching to the 3-4 defense which will essentially throw away 1/2 of their very talented defensive players. IDIOTS!

The team should stick with what they had and built up a better DB core while creating pass rushing, but more importantly they should draft a receiver to take pressure off of the best receiver in the league.

12) Minnesota Vikings: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

Viking fans want a QB but Jake Locker has burned his stock so much that he might not be a 1st rounder anymore. With that the Vikings need some backfield help, maybe some other help on offense and possibly a defensive lineman, but one need the Vikings have had a need at OLB for awhile and many people think that Akeem Ayers is a good OLB prospect.

13) Detroit Lions: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

This is the first time that I have ever mock an offensive lineman early to Detroit. I am not sold on a guy like Nate Solder but it would be funny if the one year the Lions take an offensive lineman early.

14) Miami Dolphins: Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

This might be a little early for Mark Ingram, but the Dolphins get an amazing runner that is very complete from head to toe.

15) St. Louis Rams: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

Jones is a very good talent that will help the Rams shine. I think it is becoming too much of a lock so don't be shocked to see something mocked here in the future!

16) Jacksonville Jaguars: Brandon Harris, CB, Miami

Big need, and southern. Perfect fit for the Jags.

17) New England Patriots (From Oak): JJ Watt, DE/DT, Wisconsin


Watt is a great talent that might be a top-10 after a good combine.

18) San Diego Chargers: Cameron Jordan, DE/DT, California

Cam Jordan is a great player with a ton of potential both as a 3-4 end, but also as a pass rusher when needed.

19) New York Giants: Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida

Pouncey is a good (I wouldn't say elite by any means) guard prospect that some thing could get taken by Minnesota in the first round. He fills a need and is a good prospect here.

20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

Kerrigan is a guy that still has some learning to do. but he is a good overall prospect that would be able to help instantly as a pass rusher.

21) Kansas City Chiefs: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

Carimi is a guy that has a lot of potential to become one of the best LT's in the game, but he will need to be coached some. I think the Chiefs are a young franchise that would do wonders with a guy like Carimi and it would allow them to have many more options for when Brandon Albert shows that he is not a full time LT.

22) Indianapolis Colts: Adrian Clayborn, DE/DT, Iowa

The Colts love Iowa players and Clayborn is a guy that can potentially help the Colts both at DE and possibly at DT. The Colts needs a few other things like a LT but Clayborn is good value here.

Kind of random, but I ask you all to check out the DRAFTOLOGY section sometime! It's a great resource about how teams draft, some of the draft strategies, and some of the hot topics to the draft like picking need over value

23) Philadelphia Eagles: Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

The Eagles need to address their OL but there aren't many guys worth the pick here for the value. Jimmy Smith is a reach to some here, but there are also some that believe that Smith is the 2nd best corner in the draft.

24) New Orleans Saints: Tyron Smith, OT, USC

Smith is technically one of the best tackles in the draft but he is not a big guy and he will need to add some bulk before he breaks into the top-16.

25) Seattle Seahawks: Jake Locker, QB, Washington


Even after a bad Senior Bowl I have no idea how Jake Locker falls past this pick. Locker's potential is amazing but he isn't accurate and he might have zero confidence (David Carr Syndrome) at this point.

26) Baltimore Ravens: Corey Liuget, DE/DT, Illinois

The Ravens continue to depth to their great team but they just don't always feel like a Super Bowl contender.

27) Atlanta Falcons: Titus Young, WR, Boise State


Mike Jenkins sucks. Ok Falcon fans before you start your hatemail, know that I am half joking. Jenkins is a great guy in a pinch but he does not deserve to be starting across from Roddy White, and I'm not sold that the Falcons will win in the playoffs without a good 2nd receiver. Young is the fourth or fifth best receiver in the draft, but the Falcons are a team that have no problem taking their guys in the draft, and it has done a pretty good job for them as of late.

28) New England Patriots: Justin Houston, DE/LB, Georgia

The Patriots have some needs all over their defense and while I think a WR here could make more sense, there is a greater chance that the Jets, Bears, Packers and Steelers could be looking to grab a LB.

29) New York Jets: Muhammad Wilkerson, DE/DT, Temple

The Jets need some help on their DL and Wilkerson is a good pick here.

30) Chicago Bears: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College


The Bears need help on their entire offensive line and a guy like Castonzo might help prevent any FAKE (yeah I said it Bear fans) knee injuries.

31) Pittsburgh Steelers: Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame

I got a lot of hate for this pick a few weeks ago but I really like it. The Steelers need help on their OL and in their DB core but anyone here would be a slight reach. Kyle Rudolph is arguably the BPA here, fills a slight need (Heath Miller needs some competition and isn't a TD machine at his best).

32) Green Bay Packers: Mikel Leshoure, RB, Illinois

Proto Man was great in the playoffs but even if he stays healthy he would work well with Leshoure next to him. Sure this is a luxury pick but it isn't that terrible of one considering the fact that one of the biggest needs for the Packers was a RB 2 months ago.

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ROUND 2


1)    New England (from Carolina): Jonathon Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh
(Took JJ Watt and Justin Houston in the first)


Baldwin is a good talent and a good prospect that hurt his stock some because of a terrible QB situation this season. He also has a bit of a wide receiver's tongue but New England did wonders with Moss and could do it with Baldwin too.

2)  Buffalo Bills: Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas
(Took AJ Green in the first)


Mallett's stock is dropping right now but it would be dumb for the Bills to pass on him here given his potential.

3)    Cincinnati Bengals: Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland
(Took Da'Quan Bowers in the first)


If eight-five and T.O come back then this isn't likely but it doesn't look like both will be back.

4)    Denver Broncos: Aaron Williams, CB, Texas
(Took Nick Fairley in the first)


Some think taking Peterson is the best move in the first for the Broncos, but I think grabbing the best defensive lineman and the fourth or fifth best corner is better than the best corner and the 10th(ish) defensive lineman here.

5)    Cleveland Browns: Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami
(Took Patrick Peterson in the first)


If Hankerson were faster he would be a top-15 pick, but I think the Browns would be ok getting him at 37.

6)    Arizona Cardinals: Stefen Wisniewski, OC, Penn State
(Took Von Miller in the first)


The Cards could go a number of places with this pick, and a QB is possible here, but it might be a little early for one of the 2nd tier QB's.

7)    Tennessee Titans: Martez Wilson, MLB, Illinois
(Took Blaine Gabbert in the first)


Martez isn't getting the respect that he deserves but he would be a great pickup for the Titans.

8)    Dallas Cowboys: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State
(Took Prince Amukamara in the first)


Sherrod is a good (not great) talent that will at worst will play RT.

9)    Washington Redskins: Phil Taylor, NT, Baylor
(Took Robert Quinn in the first)


Fat Albert doesn't want the spot so the Skins will need someone who does.

10)    Houston Texans: Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
(Took Aldon Smith in the first)


More defense for the Texans. It does fill a need but the team needs to improve the offense at some point.

11)    Minnesota Vikings: Colin Kaepernick, QB, Nevada
(Took Akeem Ayers in the first)


The Vikings could go QB in the 1st but they easily could grab a up and coming guy like Kaepernick here.

12)    Detroit Lions: Mason Foster, OLB, Washington
(Took Nate Solder in the first)
.

Foster is a rising talent that would help a LB core that is awful in Detroit.

13)    San Francisco 49ers: Pat Devlin, QB, Delaware
(Took Marcel Dareus in the first)


Devlin is a slight reach here but Blaine Gabbert is a reach in the top-20 given the complete package. Devlin would be a top notch talent in the WCO and his accuracy is something that many SF fans have raved about on this site. (BTW don't forget to comment at the bottom of the page!)

14)    Denver Broncos (from Miami): Ben Ijalana, OT/G, Villanova
(Took Nick Fairley and Aaron Williams so far)


Ijalana is a stud that isn't getting the love that he deserves. He is a mauling player that can play either tackle or guard, and he would he could contribute at RT or inside for the Teb-Orton.

15)    St. Louis Rams: Bruce Carter, OLB, UNC
(Took Julio Jones in the first)


Don't be shocked to see another WR here, but Carter would be a great upgrade and asset for the Rams.

16)    Oakland Raiders: DeMarcus Love, OT/G, Arkasas
(No first rounder)


This is a hard one to pick. The Raiders are great at drafting guys that fit a need and Love will fit in great on an OL that needs help and has some openings, but they could also go after a DB given the fact that Nnamdi might bolt.

17)    Jacksonville Jaguars: Brandon Burton, CB, Utah
(Took Brandon Harris in the first)


Here is a little draft history for you. The Jags double dipped each of the last three years. It is a cool draft theory that makes sure that you get one good starter from the draft, but it could be a waste if both are good (or suck).

18)    San Diego Chargers: Sam Acho, DE/LB, Texas
(Took Cameron Jordan in the first)


Acho is gaining some ground and should be a top-50 pick if he has a solid combine.

19)    Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kendrick Burney, CB, UNC
(Took Ryan Kerrigan in the first)


Burney is a playmaker but he does have his flaws which drops his stock a little bit.

20)    New York Giants: Jordan Todman, RB, UConn
(Took Mike Pouncey in the first)


The Giants need RB help and it seems almost dumb to say it.

21)    Indianapolis Colts: Ryan Williams, RB, Virginia Tech
(Took Adrian Clayborn in the first)


The Colts need to find OL help but getting a good RB might help them to take some pressure off of the passing game.

22)    Philadelphia Eagles: Marcus Cannon, OT/G, TCU
(Took Jimmy Smith in the first)


Anyone familiar with the site knows that I am in love with the potential of Cannon. He is a 350 war tank that could possibly be an elite RT at the next level.

23)    Kansas City Chiefs: Cameron Heyward, DE/DT, Ohio State
(Took Gabe Carimi in the first)


The Chiefs have a ton invested in their DL and at NT is the biggest need but getting a guy like Heyward this late would be a steal.

24)    New Orleans Saints: Greg Jones, OLB, Michigan State
(Took Tyron Smith in the first)


25)    Seattle Seahawks: Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia
(Took Jake Locker in the first)


The Seahawks need help all over the place in their backfield and Dowling can play just about anywhere.

26)    Baltimore Ravens: DeAndre McDaniel, S, Clemson
(Took Corey Liuget in the first)


McDaniel needs some time to mature, but he is great in run support and has the potential to be a great replacement for Ed Reed.

27)    Atlanta Falcons: Rodney Hudson, OG, Florida State
(Took Titus Young in the first)


The Falcons are hard to mock for because they have few immediate need but many needs that can be addressed, and guard is one of them.

28)    New England Patriots:  Christian Ballard, DE/DT, Iowa
(Took Justin Houston, JJ Watt, Jonathon Baldwin)


A second DE might sound weird but it is a giant need that might be address multiple times in the draft.

29)    San Diego (From the NY Jets): Vincent Brown, WR, San Diego State
(Took Sam Acho and Cameron Jordan so far)


This is a bit of a reach for the Chargers but they might love the hometown guy's potential. They also might need to draft someone to replace Vincent Jackson so why not get another Vincent?

30)    Chicago Bears: Drake Nevis, DT, LSU
(Took Anthony Castonzo in the first)


There are a ton of defensive linemen in this draft and the Bears might be looking to grab a few of them.

31)    Pittsburgh Steelers: Curtis Brown, CB, Texas
(Took Kyle Rudolph in the first)


Again the Steelers might go OT here but it will be hard to pass on a corner here either way.

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Can't get enough NFL draft coverage??? Don't forget to check out Austin Fry's Mock Draft!!

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32)    Green Bay Packers: Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor
(Took Mikel Leshoure in the first)


Danny Watkins is a top-50 pick by talent but he is 27 years old which will makes some teams shy away.