A few years ago I wrote an article that analyzed the combine's 40-yard dash to scientifically go beyond just speed. In the article (which is here) I explained that by taking into account the weight and height of the player you can further analyze the speed to match the build. This allows you to actually see which players are fast given their size instead of falling in love with short, tiny guys that can't take a hit. The analysis helped me to predict that DeMarco Murray and James Starks would be potential steals over the last few drafts (unfortunately health can play a devastating role in careers too). It also made me question the true abilities of guys like CJ Spiller.

This year though, I have devised a new formula which also breaks down a player's 10-yard split (first ten yards in the 40-yard dash). The ten yard split tells us how quick a player is at the start of the play which might be a better judge than for 40-yards. For the 40-yard dash a score of 750 is excellent, while a score of 800 is what I would call elite. For the new 10-yard split score, 250 is a good score, with anything over about 275 is 'elite'.




Without seeing what Eddie Lacy runs, you can see that there were three guys that shined at the Combine this year. Looking strictly at the numbers you have to like what Giovanni Bernard has to offer, while loving the potential of Le'Veon Bell and Knile Davis. I honestly would have the most faith for potential in Bell because he was a workhorse (although perhaps too much) on a team that succeeded when defenses knew to only stop him. His biggest question was whether he had the speed and quickness to succeed.

I would leap at the potential of my team stealing Knile Davis in the bottom of the draft. He was once a 1st round prospect, but had some injury issues. If he can stay healthy, then he could easily be the next big RB steal in the draft.